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Co-production of Climate Services for East Africa

CORDIS provides links to public deliverables and publications of HORIZON projects.

Links to deliverables and publications from FP7 projects, as well as links to some specific result types such as dataset and software, are dynamically retrieved from OpenAIRE .

Deliverables

Crop modeling prototype (opens in new window)

Proof of concept prototype (manuscript) for the application of crop modelling advances to seasonal forecasting in East Africa

Report on the landscape of climate products and services in the region (opens in new window)
Manuscript on machine learning (opens in new window)

Provision of a proof of concept prototype submission of manuscript for using an expanded feature set and machine learning approaches to postprocess seasonal forecasts

Report on the potential usability of the climate services (opens in new window)

Report on the potential usability of the climate services in other organisations in Task 1.4

Minutes from first annual meeting (opens in new window)

Minutes from first annual meeting including SAC meeting

Minutes from CONFER end conference (opens in new window)

Summary and recording of the conference and policy workshop co-organised with the sister projects FOCUS-Africa and DOWN2EARTH

Perspective paper (opens in new window)

A perspective paper with recommendations for climate services in Africa, based on experiences from CONFER. To be co-written by the steering committee.

Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results (PEDR) (opens in new window)

Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results PEDR

Second version of the PEDR (opens in new window)

Second version of the Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results PEDR

Report on the MOOC for radio journalists (opens in new window)

Report on the MOOC for radio journalists in Task 49

Manuscript on improvements in downscaled seasonal forecast skill (opens in new window)
Manuscript on methods for ensemble downscaling techniques (opens in new window)

Manuscript on methods for ensemble downscaling techniques and combining dynamical and statistical forecasts

Capacity Building and Training Plan (opens in new window)

Capacity Building and Training Plan developed in Task 41

Report on enhanced WRF-Hydro (opens in new window)

Report on enhanced WRFHydro model version adapted to the East African hydroclimatology

First policy brief (opens in new window)
Report on the climate services (opens in new window)

Report on the climate services developed and the steps taken in their co-development (month 42). This deliverable is linked to Task 1.3. and ICPAC is responsible.

Interim report on training (opens in new window)

Interim report on the impact of the training in Tasks 43 44 47 and 410

Third version of the PEDR (opens in new window)

Third version of the Plan for Exploitation and Dissemination of Results (PEDR)

Manuscript on improving EMOS models (opens in new window)

Provision of a proof of concept prototype submission of manuscript for the application of an expanded feature set to improve on simple EMOS models

Manuscript on capacity building (opens in new window)

Manuscript on impact of the training, lessons learnt and any remaining capability and capacity gaps.

Minutes from third annual meeting (opens in new window)

Minutes from third annual meeting, including SAC meeting.

Second policy brief (opens in new window)
Minutes from kick-off meeting (opens in new window)

Minutes from kickoff meeting

Report on enhancing products and feedback channels in the region (opens in new window)
Minutes from second annual meeting (opens in new window)

Minutes from second annual meeting including SAC meeting

WRF Hydro prototype (opens in new window)

Proof of concept prototype (manuscript) for the application of WRF-Hydro to seasonal forecasting in East Africa, in both offline and online modes

Establishment of committees (opens in new window)

Establishment of Scientific Advisory Committee and Scientific Steering Committee

Software suite of forecast evaluation tools (opens in new window)
Software for C3S forecasts (opens in new window)

Software and teaching materials for acquiring, post-processing and visualizing C3S forecasts.

Publications

Fidelity of CMIP6 Models in Simulating June–September Rainfall Climatology, Spatial and Trend Patterns Over Complex Topography of Greater Horn of Africa (opens in new window)

Author(s): Jima, W.L., Bahaga, T.K. & Tsidu, G.M.
Published in: Pure and Applied Geophysics, 2024, ISSN 1420-9136
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00024-023-03414-8

Subselection of seasonal ensemble precipitation predictions for East Africa (opens in new window)

Author(s): Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Silje Lund Sørland, Masilin Gudoshava, Eunice Koech, Titike K. Bahaga, Stefan Pieter Sobolowski
Published in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Issue Volume 149, Issue 755, 2023, Page(s) 2634-2653, ISSN 1477-870X
Publisher: Wiley
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4525

Challenges and ways forward for sustainable weather and climate services in Africa (opens in new window)

Author(s): Benjamin Lamptey, Salah SAHABI ABED, Masilin Gudoshava, Joseph Mutemi, Mary-Jane Bopape, Elijah Adesanya Adefisan, Moudi Pascal Igri, Ibrah Seidou Sanda, Ousmane Ndiaye, Douglas J. Parker, Andrew J. Dougill, Andreas H. Fink, Peter Knippertz, Steve Woolnough, Erik W. Kolstad
Published in: Nature Communications, Issue 15, 2024, ISSN 2041-1723
Publisher: Nature Publishing Group
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-46742-6

Sensitivity of Rainfall Extremes to Unprecedented Indian Ocean Dipole Events (opens in new window)

Author(s): David MacLeod, Erik W. Kolstad, Katerina Michaelides, Michael Bliss Singer
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 51, 2024, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2023gl105258

Lagged oceanic effects on the East African short rains (opens in new window)

Author(s): Erik W. Kolstad, and David MacLeod
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2022, ISSN 0930-7575
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-022-06176-6

Spatiotemporal variability of soil moisture over Ethiopia and its teleconnections with remote and local drivers (opens in new window)

Author(s): Tamirat B. Jimma, Teferi Demissie, Gulilat T. Diro, Kassahun Ture, Tadesse Terefe & Dawit Solomon
Published in: Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Issue 301, 2023, ISSN 0177-798X
Publisher: Springer Verlag
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-022-04335-7

Regional water cycle sensitivity to afforestation: synthetic numerical experiments for tropical Africa (opens in new window)

Author(s): Joël Arnault, Anthony Musili Mwanthi, Tanja Portele, Lu Li, Thomas Rummler, Benjamin Fersch, Mohammed Abdullahi Hassan, Titike Kassa Bahaga, Zhenyu Zhang, Eric Mensah Mortey, Ifeany Chukwudi Achugbu8,9, Hassane Moutahir, Souleymane Sy, Jianhui Wei,Patrick Laux, Stefan Sobolowski and Harald Kunstmann
Published in: Frontiers in Climate, Issue Volume 5, 2023, ISSN 2624-9553
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA, [2019]-
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1233536

Enhanced hydrological modelling with the WRF-Hydro lake/reservoir module at Convection-Permitting scale: a case study of the Tana River basin in East Africa (opens in new window)

Author(s): Ling Zhang, Lu Li, Zhongshi Zhang, Joël Arnault, Stefan Sobolowski, Anthony Musili Mwanthi, Pratik Kad, Mohammed Abdullahi Hassan, Tanja Portele, Harald Kunstmann
Published in: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2024, ISSN 1027-5606
Publisher: European Geophysical Society
DOI: 10.5194/hess-2024-278

The 2019–21 drought in southern Madagascar (opens in new window)

Author(s): Rondrotiana Barimalala, Caroline Wainwright, Erik W. Kolstad, Teferi D. Demissie
Published in: Weather and Climate Extremes, Issue 46, 2024, Page(s) 100723, ISSN 2212-0947
Publisher: Elsevier BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100723

Co-ordinating agricultural adaptation: Seasonal forecasts and their influence on rural agricultural rhythms in Ethiopia (opens in new window)

Author(s): Mathias Venning, Bizuneh Bushaka
Published in: Time & Society, 2025, ISSN 0961-463X
Publisher: SAGE Publications
DOI: 10.1177/0961463x241260554

Probabilistic rainy season onset prediction over the greater horn of africa based on long-range multi-model ensemble forecasts. (opens in new window)

Author(s): Michael Scheuerer, Titike K. Bahaga, Zewdu T. Segele & Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir
Published in: Climate Dynamics, 2024, ISSN 1432-0894
Publisher: Springer
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-023-07085-y

Beyond the regional average: Drivers of geographical rainfall variability during East Africa's short rains (opens in new window)

Author(s): Erik W. Kolstad, Douglas J. Parker, David A. MacLeod, Caroline M. Wainwright, Linda C. Hirons
Published in: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2024, ISSN 0035-9009
Publisher: Royal Meteorological Society
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4829

Advances, gaps and way forward in provision of climate services over the Greater Horn of Africa (opens in new window)

Author(s): Masilin Gudoshava, George Otieno, Eunice Koech, Herbert Misiani, Jemimah Gacheru Ongoma, Claudio Heinrich-Mertsching, Calistus Wachana, Hussen Seid Endris, Anthony Mwanthi, Mary Kilavi, Emmah Mwangi, Andrew Colman, Douglas Parker, Joseph Nzau Mutemi, Paula Machio, Paulino Omoj Omay, Paul Ombai, Doreen Anande, Alfred Kondowe, Isaac Mugume, Prosper Ayabagabo, Houda Youssouf Houssein, Mahado Salah Wa
Published in: Frontiers in Climate, Issue 6, 2024, ISSN 2624-9553
Publisher: Frontiers
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1307535

Drivers of Subseasonal Forecast Errors of the East African Short Rains (opens in new window)

Author(s): E. W. Kolstad, D. MacLeod, T. D. Demissie
Published in: Geophysical Research Letters, Issue 48/14, 2021, ISSN 0094-8276
Publisher: American Geophysical Union
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093292

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